Where Will Alex Hit?

The model runs are taking Tropical Storm Alex (eventually Hurricane Alex) further and further north it seems with each run.

Yesterday it was making landfall well into Mexico, at least a few hundred miles south of Brownsville.

Now the official forecast has it coming in about 75 miles south of Brownsville, Texas.

If you look at this snapshot from the NAM Model, looking about 84 hours into the future, it has the storm hitting Brownsville head-on.

And if you look at the GFS forecast model looking out about 108 hours, it has the storm almost moving parallel to the Texas coast and making landall in the Houston vicinity.