Wednesday, January 14, 2009

16 Day Forecast? And Some Bone Chilling Facts

A 16-day forecast, c'mon you're kidding, right?

Not at all.

There is a company in Denver that provides weather information and products for a variety of industries and they also have a great, interactive web site.

Click here to access it.

Once there, you will see a box in the top right where you can enter your zip code.

A page will come up showing the current 7-day forecast and there will be several links on the right. In that list it says 16-day forecast.

This is somewhat experimental I guess you could say because the accuracy going out that far is very low.

BUT -- it is great to see weather trends. It is also great to see how those trends either stay steady or completely change from day to day as the forecast models process data and forecast potential results.

You can do a lot of other things from this web site, including look at forecast models.

In the menu across the top of the page, under CURRENT, you can look at weather by state, highs and lows for the past 24 hours around your state and more.

I think it is a fantastic web site and very user friendly.

Thanks WXWATCHER for the info on St. Louis. It's been 10 years, the longest duration in their recorded weather history, since they have seen 0 and below temperatures.

This is also the coldest winter in 8 years for Chicago. Many places in the midwest are 1 to 3 feet above normal for snowfall, including Chicago, Green Bay and Marquette.

Several weeks ago I blogged about when it is well below zero outside, at least 6 or 7 below, but best when 12 or more below, you can take a cup of boiling hot water and hoist it into the air as hard, fast and high as you can, and it will become an instant cloud of vapor.

If anyone can conduct this experiment and take a picture, I will share it with everyone.

Back when I was the weather producer at Channel 7 here in Denver, I wrote a story about this and had some viewers send pictures. Here is a link to a slideshow and you can see how cool this little experiment really is to see.

Click here to view. There are 3 pictures, and note that in the 3rd picture, you can really see the water drops still traveling and freezing near the top of the cloud.

So far, 23 votes on the poll about the upcoming hurricane season!! It is almost a tie, with 1 vote seperating yes it will be as bad as 2005 from no, but there will be a few big ones!


  1. It's hard for me to buy into any forecast further out then 12 hours... needless to say, a 16 day... pish posh. :) BUT YES GREAT SITE!

    I don't think it'll be cold enough for me to do that experiment here in Oshkosh, WI. Bummer.

  2. Hey y'all. I have a friend in Nebraska, another storm chasing Mike, who did this experiment last year, and he received second degree burns. I would have to caution people of the dangers of trying this at home. Just ask Mike.

    He has some pictures at this link, as well as his story.

    16 day forecasts??? They can hardly get the 5 days right sometimes...

  3. Chris;

    Thanks for the web site and for letting 'Dewdrops' blog/comment get through. There is clearly a lesson to be learned there. And thanks for the additions to the Blog. It's good to hear from others involved in CoCoRHS around the country.

    But getting the 5-day forcast seems no better than a 50-50 proposition here in CO...for me, any attempt at 16-day invites skepticism and brings into question weather credibility. That doesn't mean it isn't a great site and (among many other things) offers an 'educated guess' as to what is to come.